Category Archives: Federal Reserve

A self funding branch of government

The one thing that really stands out to me in the separation of the Fed from other branches of government is that they are self funding. They don’t have a budget that congress approves and therefore answer to basically no one.

The reserve requirements start to mess with the profitability of banks and although they are under the control of the Fed they are rarely used.

Yes, Greenspan got too much credit in the boom, even though he was saying it was “irrational exuberant,” and he is getting too much blame now. I do think when we look back on this period, after the economy and stock market resume upward movement, he will be viewed as a great success. To have achieved this soft a landing after one of the biggest bubbles in history, should be viewed with acclaim, not disdain.

Intentional loopholes

I would think that some would argue that the Fed did step in and do what it thought was a strong plan by cutting a deal to curb government spending in exchange for credit controls. The intentional loopholes were exactly where they went wrong. The general public doesn’t see those loopholes. They only read the headlines that says they shouldn’t or can’t use their credit cards and react to that. So, they should have had a strong plan, not one based on deception.

Its almost impossible for the Fed to effect, much less control, government spending. They have no direct ability and any words by Greenspan fall on the very deaf ears of elected officials. They have much more control over interest rates, although not complete, direct control. More on this in the coming week.

Greenspan Speak

If you look back at how the Fed changed the target rate, you will find lots of very small changes. They usually move much slower than many would like. They don’t want to destabilize the system by encouraging everyone to move at once. If you view rate cuts as the gas and rate hikes as the brakes, how would you like to be driven around? Stomping on the brakes and gas is rough ride and slow steady pressure is a much smoother ride. Corny analogy but you get the point.

There is the difference comparing now to then. Volker made some drastic cuts and hikes to try to control the situation quickly. Greenspan moves like a turtle for the most part. Also, he never says anything that can be understood by the press or mainstream america. This makes it difficult for the masses to overreact to anything the Fed does like they did when Volker tightened credit controls. Some call it “Greenspan Speak.” You can’t react to what you don’t understand.